Grumpy-Plow
0x43bb3b8ce534efa65c1e80a663d8a1bf882726db
Quality score
65/100
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
8989 shares @ 18.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$764.08
$-875.51
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
4283 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$663.89
$-21.42
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
6297 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$229.85
$-11.44
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$85.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
12242 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$79.57
$-22.32
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
1663 shares @ 27.9¢·now 4.2¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$69.86
$-393.39
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
2000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$36.00
$-504.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
8123 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$20.31
$-467.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$719.1411m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$11.262h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$23.002h ago
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$35.002h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$299.993h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$300.003h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$27.563h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1.683h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1.683h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$42.264h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$3.674h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$83.064h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1.684h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$0.814h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$0.424h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$0.104h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$0.324h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$14.374h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$0.504h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$5.924h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $81.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23h ago
- Last active
- 11m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.