Flickering-Gesture-Retreat
0x44599321c75ee745a221b995fc512a899ae84117
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$98.88
Total PnL
$-46.15
Realised
$1.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 73.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.71
$0.71
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
16 shares @ 78.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$14.87
$2.09
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
15 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.00
$1.00
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.37
$0.37
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58 shares @ 17.1¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.28
$1.28
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.51
$0.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.03Jun 3, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.03Jun 3, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.06Jun 3, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.02Jun 3, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.31Jun 3, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.02Jun 3, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.25Jun 3, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.03Jun 3, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.06Jun 3, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.04Jun 3, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jun 3, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$6.00Jun 3, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.90Jun 3, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.02Jun 3, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.03Jun 3, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.18Jun 3, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.05Jun 3, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.32Jun 3, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.04Jun 3, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.96Jun 3, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".