Joyful-Escape
0x4513e24869a576de339b78f8eaeede39573549a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$160.77
Total PnL
$0.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
25 shares @ 59.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$25.36
$10.36
- NO
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.28
$11.28
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
19 shares @ 53.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.45
$5.45
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.56
$1.56
- NO
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$11.36
$1.36
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
10 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$10.34
$0.34
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$9.26
$4.26
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.33
$3.33
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$7.81
$2.81
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.25
$2.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$4.62Mar 18, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$8.75Mar 18, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.11Mar 18, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$12.05Mar 18, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.99Mar 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$3.00Mar 5, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 3, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Mar 3, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?$10.53Mar 3, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.00Mar 2, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$5.03Mar 1, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Angel Pacheco vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)$5.95Mar 1, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 28, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Angel Pacheco vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)$5.00Feb 28, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$5.00Feb 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$5.00Feb 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.00Feb 28, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$5.00Feb 28, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.00Feb 28, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 05:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.