Wary-Sail
0x4631a57714da3e038fb9fe4d25f246439f0efca5
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$169.27
Total PnL
$-82.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?
171 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$168.25
$2.06
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.52
$-0.52
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?
100 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-83.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?$32.33May 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?$133.86May 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$179.82May 24, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$178.02May 23, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 22, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?$77.61May 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?$102.21May 21, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?$179.10May 20, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?$179.10May 20, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?$177.30May 19, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?$179.82May 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?$178.92May 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?$179.28May 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?$178.38May 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?$179.27May 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?$106.37May 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?$72.37May 12, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?$179.00May 11, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?$177.93May 10, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $104.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".