Charming-Sponge
0x4c4da66348b10b3715d63b93f1607309d26eee6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
129
Open notional
$168.50
Total PnL
$5.95
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 68.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.68
$8.68
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
13 shares @ 15.2¢·now 64.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.51
$6.51
- YES
Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
9 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
3 shares @ 79.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$-3.85
- YES
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.99
$0.30
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.92
$0.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?$1.10May 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$1.00May 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$1.00May 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$1.01May 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$1.00May 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?$1.00May 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?$1.00May 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$1.01May 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$1.03May 19, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?$1.02May 19, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?$1.01May 19, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?$1.01May 19, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?$1.00May 19, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$1.00May 19, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$0.00May 19, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$0.00May 19, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 19, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?$1.00May 19, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.10May 19, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.01May 19, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $555.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".