Waterlogged-Smoke
0x4c54c395dfe8484d578be426870b7a36e21e0413
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$106.90
Total PnL
$0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?
24 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$24.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?
24 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$23.52
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 26, 2026$19.55
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$15.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$13.63
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$11.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?$23.45May 25, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?$19.51May 24, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$35.17May 24, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?$13.61May 24, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?$11.00May 24, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?$24.01May 23, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?$16.33May 23, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$15.00May 23, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$35.10May 23, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$31.46May 23, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$53.11May 23, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?$16.24May 22, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$29.00May 21, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 21?$20.74May 21, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 21?$20.70May 21, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$20.04May 21, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$20.00May 21, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$11.09May 21, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?$27.05May 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$24.00May 20, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $21.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".