Proper-Parrot
0x4c86ba627b61d61ef0ccd87a0e7fdbd8a33f9784
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$143.78
Total PnL
$-51.45
Realised
$14.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 35.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.28
$6.48
- YES
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
248 shares @ 10.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.49
$-6.58
- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
76 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.04
$0.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
50 shares @ 43.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.50
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
562 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.48
$-25.83
- NO
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
98 shares @ 40.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.68
$-26.34
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
13 shares @ 47.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.36
$1.40
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
60 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.30
$-6.30
- NO
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.40
$-0.80
- YES
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.26
$-2.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor?$19.61May 12, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?$6.12May 12, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?$4.30May 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$21.99May 12, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?$13.00May 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$28.01May 10, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 9, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?$39.96May 9, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$53.15May 9, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$27.00May 9, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$3.88May 9, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$40.77May 9, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$1.05Apr 30, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$11.72Apr 30, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$52.52Apr 24, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$121.34Apr 24, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$17.13Apr 24, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$182.87Apr 23, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$8.06Apr 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$29.91Apr 23, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $26.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 08:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 19:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".