Brilliant-Debate
0x5175bc0109f2d291e446dc76b73783c7294502ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$438.63
Total PnL
$-35.27
Realised
$27.70
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 27.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.25
$39.65
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
128 shares @ 20.4¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.80
$34.71
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
54 shares @ 17.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.93
$33.43
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
147 shares @ 35.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.66
$-22.78
- YES
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
48 shares @ 21.4¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.68
$9.42
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 35.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.51
$2.03
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 22.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$16.08
$5.33
- NO
No one announced as next James Bond?
122 shares @ 32.2¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.86
$-23.41
- NO
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
25 shares @ 42.6¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.00
$1.35
- YES
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?
48 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.76
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$8.96Jun 10, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$0.37Jun 9, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.64Jun 9, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.02Jun 9, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$3.32Jun 9, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$19.60Jun 9, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$39.20Jun 9, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?$8.50Jun 7, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?$7.98Jun 7, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$5.00Jun 4, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$120.00Jun 4, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?$3.00Jun 1, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?$2.70Jun 1, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$3.45May 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$3.51May 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$2.84May 11, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?$0.97Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$0.35Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$2.20Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$1.19Apr 28, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.