Blushing-Gravy
0x534c681471c2d205886aa879b93c146ea8ce64cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$55.78
Total PnL
$-1.40
Realised
$0.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.21
$0.21
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.23
$0.23
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.05
$0.08
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- NO
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$2.25Jun 14, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$3.06Jun 14, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$3.80Jun 14, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.85Jun 14, 13:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$4.34May 18, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.