Spotted-Rice
0x539c2f3021fea7061787eaabc010f22781ff54c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$235.95
Total PnL
$-0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
104 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$89.03
$-0.52
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
105 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.77
$2.62
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
106 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$23.93
$-0.53
- YES
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
105 shares @ 21.9¢·now 19.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.91
$-2.14
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
105 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.31
$0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$23.97May 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?$90.14May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$16.33May 17, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$83.93May 17, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$25.24May 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?$46.11May 8, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?$38.11May 7, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$0.96May 5, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.02May 5, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.01May 5, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.20May 5, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.08May 4, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.08May 4, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00May 4, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00May 4, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.07May 4, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $23.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".