0x546961c1402c55d0706da2968a685f54b5bf338a
0x546961c1402c55d0706da2968a685f54b5bf338a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.22
Total PnL
$-3.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.16
$0.16
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
5 shares @ 41.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$0.45
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Angela Gonzales-Torres advance from the CA-34 primary election?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.00May 5, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.00May 5, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$0.00May 5, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 5, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.37May 5, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2.15May 5, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$1.30May 5, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$2.74May 5, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$4.55May 5, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.59May 5, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$1.63Apr 26, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.32Apr 26, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$0.31Apr 26, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$1.24Apr 26, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$4.81Apr 26, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$0.03Apr 26, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.88Apr 26, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$0.65Apr 26, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$0.57Apr 26, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$2.00Apr 25, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.