0x54d9244f37dc0690bb202bd71c9c2a05ff4e04f7
0x54d9244f37dc0690bb202bd71c9c2a05ff4e04f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$164.36
Total PnL
$38.72
Realised
$1.24
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
90 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.46
$44.46
- NO
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
60 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$60.00
$0.42
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
9 shares @ 74.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.16
$0.49
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.53
$-7.47
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.10
$0.60
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-0.80
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$7.99Jun 12, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$3.64Jun 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $4.50Jun 10, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $1.00Jun 10, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$4.29Jun 6, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$12.90Jun 6, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.62Jun 6, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$10.78Jun 6, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $4.50Jun 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$5.95Jun 3, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$5.54Apr 25, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$5.32Apr 25, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.68Apr 25, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.68Apr 25, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$2.10Apr 25, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.87Apr 17, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.04Apr 17, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$21.33Apr 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$2.00Apr 15, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$5.39Apr 13, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.