Muted-Flipflops
0x56bf31869138142c2bce2ffd2f0c3bf38f623f74
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$10.92
Total PnL
$-56.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.24
$1.24
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.78
$0.78
- YES
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.08
$-0.92
- YES
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.38
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?$2.08May 1, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Comey insult Trump by Friday?$1.04May 1, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?$1.04May 1, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$1.04May 1, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.07May 1, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.07May 1, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey mugshot released by May 5?$1.00May 1, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.07May 1, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?$2.08May 1, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.04May 1, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.00May 1, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$14.20May 1, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMICE forced to unmask by February 28?$0.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMBig Game: Octopus?$0.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$0.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$0.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?$0.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$0.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.