Long-Term-Quarter
0x5784d4918b0c3fdc9163502525d3b3f7d2014018
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$10.89
Total PnL
$-310.42
Realised
$-19.22
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
8 shares @ 97.4¢·now 58.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.83
$-3.27
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.01
$0.63
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.97
$0.20
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-1.80
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 65.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$0.12
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 28.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.26
$-0.30
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
1 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$0.21
$-0.01
- YES
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
1 shares @ 47.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$0.04
$-0.43
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
269 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-172.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
103 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-17.51
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heather Tessmer be the Republican nominee for TX-21?$14.60May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$21.00May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$34.01May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$35.95May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$48.00May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$49.13May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win the first round by 2–4%?$245.00May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?$324.00May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$379.00May 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$481.00May 21, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$63.99Apr 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$26.73Apr 21, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$14.04Feb 8, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$166.14Feb 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$204.75Feb 8, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?$65.00Jan 11, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?$84.00Jan 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$124.74Jan 11, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?$37.76Jan 10, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $118.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".