0x62c987e0379e8498494360e3ce48fb542ad1c335
0x62c987e0379e8498494360e3ce48fb542ad1c335
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$143.79
Total PnL
$33.11
Realised
$0.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
120 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$120.00
$33.60
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
9 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.14
$-0.04
- NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.41
$0.32
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 81.9¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$0.40
- NO
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
5 shares @ 67.9¢·now 67.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.36
$-0.03
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
19 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$1.21Jul 14, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$4.12Jul 13, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$1.10Jul 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$3.40Jul 6, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$8.19Jul 2, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$5.16Jun 22, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$6.09Jun 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$5.28Jun 16, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLModi out by December 31, 2026?$6.36Jun 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$6.46Jun 8, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.12Jun 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$5.17Jun 4, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$5.12May 22, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$7.06Apr 27, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.68Apr 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$3.95Apr 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$2.31Apr 25, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$5.40Apr 25, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$4.74Apr 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$1.05Apr 22, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.