0x63ab6e804a45deb0df9695611b09dd59e03da526
0x63ab6e804a45deb0df9695611b09dd59e03da526
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$34.14
Total PnL
$-7.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$7.72
$2.57
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
8 shares @ 89.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.36
$-0.02
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
9 shares @ 69.2¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$7.16
$1.10
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.67
$-0.04
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 70.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.49
$-1.68
- YES
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-0.82
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.44
$-0.44
- YES
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-0.60
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?
28 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$5.62May 10, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$0.54May 5, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$1.42May 5, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?$3.44May 5, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?$2.04May 4, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?$0.46May 4, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? $0.88May 4, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$2.89May 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.45May 3, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.90May 3, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.10May 3, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.54May 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$3.09May 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.99May 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.72May 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$2.64May 3, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.24May 3, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.13May 3, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$7.41May 3, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$6.18May 2, 23:08 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".