Careful-Buying
0x64a0bf426d355eb92887d01fdf386594eaf0866e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$591.63
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-112.79
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1004 shares @ 58.5¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$198.27
$-388.95
- YES
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
458 shares @ 23.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.30
$11.82
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.62
$-40.39
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.50
$-25.50
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
320 shares @ 62.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$46.40
$-153.60
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$38.50
$-29.50
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
300 shares @ 56.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$31.50
$-136.50
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
2784 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.45
$-990.19
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
658 shares @ 26.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.09
$-155.87
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?
1942 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-154.48
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.58Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$95.20Jun 11, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$239.79Jun 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$14.88Jun 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$25.32Jun 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$72.80Jun 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$96.30Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00Jun 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?$200.00Jun 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$192.00Jun 11, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$8.09Jun 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$17.65Jun 11, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$57.74Jun 11, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$5.97Jun 11, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$100.00Jun 10, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$20.00Jun 10, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$25.49Jun 10, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$18.03Jun 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$28.77Jun 10, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$32.06Jun 10, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $65.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.