Soggy-Brilliant
0x69672d76dd8512c0bc961c7b3c41fe173d7184bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$13.9K
Total PnL
$-67.7K
Realised
$87.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
9555 shares @ 72.3¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$-933.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
5000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$232.50
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2800 shares @ 37.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$166.60
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
1400 shares @ 63.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$440.99
$-440.99
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
600 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$381.00
$57.00
- YES
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
402 shares @ 32.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$271.51
$142.20
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
1000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$254.99
$35.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$215.00
$-185.00
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
1000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$168.00
$-742.00
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1200 shares @ 6.8¢·now 13.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$159.00
$77.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.