Short-Ton
0x6a283c340a2f90f765977ab7aca8a686c604929f
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$176.44
Realised
$14.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
960 shares @ 94.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$921.58
$13.32
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1167 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$916.30
$29.16
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
500 shares @ 75.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$491.71
$114.74
- YES
Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
122 shares @ 86.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$97.83
$-7.03
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
100 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$95.24
$0.95
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
98 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.70
$7.72
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.8¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.25
$1.45
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.65
$0.55
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.50
$1.50
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.35
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$306.24May 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$24.52May 18, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$142.86May 18, 08:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$10.39May 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$19.18May 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$109.32May 17, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$141.86May 17, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$2.28May 17, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$185.52May 17, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$187.80May 16, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$38.36May 16, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$60.82May 16, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$35.08May 16, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$600.00May 16, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$9.77May 16, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$19.01May 16, 01:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$16.00May 15, 23:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $55.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".