Granular-Tomatillo
0x6afff9e68e54d793b0ba4c687d98b611f025da59
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$47.07
Total PnL
$-242.27
Realised
$-34.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
134 shares @ 33.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.72
$-23.81
- YES
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
172 shares @ 9.6¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.07
$-6.49
- NO
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?
8 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.97
$0.72
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.01
$0.51
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.27
$0.28
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
62 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.16
$-1.84
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-69.98
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
701 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-98.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$35.00Apr 27, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$35.01Apr 24, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.53Apr 22, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.53Apr 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.56Apr 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.24Apr 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.80Apr 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$4.89Apr 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.92Apr 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?$2.00Apr 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$1.98Apr 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$21.59Apr 21, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$21.58Apr 21, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$11.45Apr 21, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$10.00Apr 21, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$16.40Apr 21, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.86Apr 21, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$18.72Apr 21, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $12.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.