Gloomy-Interchange
0x6ed592cd1d563e9972f208a509a017b8f35e6937
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
122
Open notional
$18.69
Total PnL
$-314.17
Realised
$-3.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.29
$5.29
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
122 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
47 shares @ 8.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.09
$-1.91
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
55 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$-1.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 11.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.61
$-1.38
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.40
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
15 shares @ 11.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-1.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00Jul 9, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00Jul 9, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00Jul 9, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00Jul 9, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.05May 16, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.00May 16, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?$5.09May 16, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.04May 16, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$1.00May 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$1.00May 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00May 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$3.00May 16, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$2.90May 16, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$5.08May 16, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$2.12May 16, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$2.08May 16, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 16, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.00May 11, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$0.00May 11, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 28?$0.00May 6, 16:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.