Impractical-Competitor
0x7048904e9ceeed21eee51d1b38b9f5809c1df896
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$51.42
Total PnL
$-526.56
Realised
$-9.43
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
962 shares @ 12.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.67
$-89.33
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
19 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
34 shares @ 43.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.59
$-11.41
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2211 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.67
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 23?
849 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 23?
637 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or below on April 23?
481 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 23?
454 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 23?
186 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$8.77Jul 1, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.32May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.01May 11, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.09May 7, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$15.65May 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$41.72May 7, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.88May 7, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.88May 7, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$15.66May 7, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$9.40May 7, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.00May 7, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$12.63May 7, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.09May 7, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$9.30May 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$11.00May 5, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$27.32Apr 30, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$16.01Apr 30, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$8.69Apr 30, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.33Apr 30, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?$3.57Apr 30, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.