Negative-Subexpression
0x71751e45a2bcab921419777ac0a2070641ebae4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-296.98
Realised
$10.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2700 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.2K
$-13.50
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2700 shares @ 32.5¢·now 31.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$843.75
$-33.75
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
650 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$568.75
$61.75
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
467 shares @ 84.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$380.67
$-12.82
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$181.00
$1.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
250 shares @ 65.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$166.25
$1.75
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170 shares @ 90.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$161.50
$7.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
120 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$114.60
$7.80
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
110 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.17
$2.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
140 shares @ 79.1¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.80
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 19?$1.67May 17, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 19?$7.03May 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 19?$0.88May 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 19?$0.09May 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 18?$0.32May 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 19?$0.17May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$467.29May 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$643.86May 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$459.90May 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$333.77May 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 18?$0.43May 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.13May 17, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$137.97May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$42.97May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$44.99May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.45May 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$21.49May 17, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$50.00May 17, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$500.00May 17, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 18?$0.78May 17, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $75.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".