Basic-Accordion
0x7c2a36a22022c6ffe7bf796b7e98d907fa81b874
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$29.29
Total PnL
$-1.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$4.53
$3.53
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.77
$0.77
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.57
$0.57
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 66.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMMore EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?$0.00Apr 8, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x China tariff agreement by November 10?$0.00Apr 8, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$0.00Apr 8, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$0.00Apr 8, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$0.00Apr 8, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?$0.00Apr 8, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 8, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Apr 8, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 8, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.00Apr 8, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Apr 8, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.