Foolhardy-Overload
0x7c76a4819749aca50abbac29b945be1bcaa09349
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.41
Realised
$48.71
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?
3575 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-76.99
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
396 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
371 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
248 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
154 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
126 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
98 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$43.76May 25, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$152.70May 25, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$111.00May 23, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00May 23, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.75May 23, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$18.00May 23, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$17.89May 23, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$50.00May 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.33May 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.43May 23, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$46.68May 23, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$19.00May 23, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.32May 23, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.22May 23, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$0.80May 23, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$8.47May 23, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.13May 23, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$1.05May 23, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$0.19May 23, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$25.00May 21, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.