0x82719369960062437e69a1acab84d4b5de180172
0x82719369960062437e69a1acab84d4b5de180172
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
118 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$115.40
$-2.96
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
118 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$114.86
$-3.50
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
118 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$114.15
$-4.21
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
114 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$114.01
$3.20
- NO
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
112 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$111.22
$-0.39
- NO
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
111 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$110.98
$0.17
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
118 shares @ 99.9¢·now 92.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$109.83
$-8.53
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
118 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$106.63
$-11.73
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
118 shares @ 99.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$105.98
$-12.38
- NO
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
103 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$102.02
$-0.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$102.28Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$102.29Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$102.23Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$102.96Jun 12, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$101.97Jun 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$101.82Jun 12, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$111.26Jun 12, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$102.03Jun 11, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$101.92Jun 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$101.87Jun 11, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPI YoY be below 3.0% in May?$102.07Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be below 3.0% in May?$102.03Jun 11, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?$103.34Jun 10, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?$102.40Jun 10, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be -0.3% or less in May?$80.71Jun 10, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI MoM be -0.3% or less in May?$80.67Jun 10, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$102.70Jun 10, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?$102.68Jun 9, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?$102.36Jun 9, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Armenia 0 - 2 Moldova?$28.00Jun 9, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $92.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.