Physical-Sunbeam
0x82e74b7739c3cf7a68fdb1b425d643e22c6a0c8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$37.56
Total PnL
$-13.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
3 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 85.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$0.01
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Jun 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$2.00Jun 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$3.00Jun 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01Jun 7, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 7, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.03Jun 7, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.05Jun 7, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.03Jun 7, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.22Jun 7, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Declan Rice record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$31.53Jun 7, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.00May 29, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Swinney be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?$3.03May 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$4.00May 24, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$1.25May 24, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.00May 21, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$2.00May 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.00May 18, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$3.74May 18, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.