Key-Part
0x8319e10a51947e561c5c4b93be716887561c4957
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-923.95
Realised
$1.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1389 shares @ 72.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$826.60
$-173.40
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
171 shares @ 58.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$92.98
$-7.01
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
92 shares @ 49.0¢·now 60.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.79
$10.79
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
43 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$42.95
$2.95
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
38 shares @ 26.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
21 shares @ 46.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$-8.60
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.31
$-9.69
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
148 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.15
$-49.85
- YES
Will the Labour Party (PvdA) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
585 shares @ 87.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-512.18
- YES
Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$40.11May 20, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$45.92May 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$88.48May 1, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$11.37Apr 28, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$0.00Apr 17, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$89.39Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.00Apr 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$31.00Apr 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$50.00Apr 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$3.66Apr 13, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$81.81Apr 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$41.89Apr 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$200.00Apr 9, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.5 and 2.75 million views in the first week?$9.18Apr 8, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$113.41Apr 8, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$136.80Apr 7, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$11.79Apr 4, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$100.00Apr 4, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$10.00Apr 4, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $74.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.