Posh-Swimming
0x83cdbcf1d454c88a1a8aed1c5e8d7f46309726d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.9K
Total PnL
$331.32
Realised
$47.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1779 shares @ 84.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$56.67
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
1180 shares @ 84.7¢·now 90.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$69.15
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1064 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$29.37
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
1164 shares @ 86.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$1.0K
$-3.35
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1070 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$0.77
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1070 shares @ 93.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$989.90
$-10.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1065 shares @ 92.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$964.03
$-21.35
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
978 shares @ 81.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$904.41
$104.41
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
819 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$810.77
$73.00
- NO
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
855 shares @ 93.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$793.57
$-6.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$19.07May 18, 08:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$50.19May 17, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$300.51May 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$355.72May 17, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$250.50May 17, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$500.00May 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$500.00May 17, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$500.00May 17, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$502.45May 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$300.65May 17, 01:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$200.55May 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$501.58May 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$122.27May 16, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$350.00May 16, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.2KMay 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$160.00May 16, 05:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$101.85May 15, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $329.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".