Regular-Satisfaction
0x8616b576bc41ed9eea12b9943bb3b2fe2aa2c877
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1242 shares @ 80.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$142.29
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1205 shares @ 83.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$728.92
$-271.08
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 35.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$712.99
$-487.00
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$400.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.0KMay 15, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$0.00May 13, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$0.00May 13, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.00May 13, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.2KMay 11, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 6, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.3KMay 3, 13:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.57Apr 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$204.00Apr 22, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$558.46Apr 22, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Apr 22, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.43Apr 22, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$500.00Apr 22, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$670.00Apr 22, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$1000.00Apr 22, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1000.00Apr 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$229.11Apr 19, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$333.03Apr 17, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$21.42Apr 17, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $213.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".