Foolhardy-Conspiracy
0x8624b054c17a719b20464da2709ff2939a5bb484
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-264.07
Realised
$-46.55
Win rate
50%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
691 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$691.00
$145.11
- NO
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
547 shares @ 65.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$547.00
$189.23
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
381 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$381.00
$144.78
- NO
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
513 shares @ 26.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$212.90
$79.52
- NO
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
37 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$37.00
$1.41
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
26 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$24.80
$0.62
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
21 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$21.07
$12.43
- NO
Will John Harbaugh join the Atlanta Falcons prior to April 23, 2026?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$20.00
$2.20
- YES
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 61.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.25
$-4.05
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
11 shares @ 49.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$8.14
$2.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$81.284d ago
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$104.415d ago
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?$2.645d ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$1.2076d ago
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$97.5276d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$30.1076d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$110.2576d ago
- TRADESELLWill John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?$63.21104d ago
- TRADESELLWill John Harbaugh join the Atlanta Falcons prior to April 23, 2026?$134.16104d ago
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Lyman by November 30?$1.00104d ago
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Drobysheve by November 30?$1.00104d ago
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?$3.00104d ago
- REDEEMWill Architecton be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.00104d ago
- REDEEMU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$7.00104d ago
- REDEEMOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$20.00104d ago
- REDEEMWill Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$24.00104d ago
- REDEEMWill A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?$30.00104d ago
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?$46.00104d ago
- REDEEMWill Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$63.00104d ago
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$86.48104d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $151.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 105d ago
- Last active
- 4d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.