0x866ba423b4c7834a9a1bc5988331e72012bbfc0b
0x866ba423b4c7834a9a1bc5988331e72012bbfc0b
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$14.75
Total PnL
$-1.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 10.8¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.05
$1.05
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-1.05
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$5.151d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.801d ago
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$2.121d ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.471d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3.171d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$2.961d ago
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$7.161d ago
- REDEEMWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$2.703d ago
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.519d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$2.009d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$2.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.009d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$2.009d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$2.009d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$0.009d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".