Unfolded-Pocketwatch
0x8ccedcdd40c9623a524c2e734879fc397b865c11
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-195.6K
Realised
$-151.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
300893 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
97038 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-57.2K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
81775 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-34.1K
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
64500 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.2K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
39064 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.9K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
36165 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.0K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
35354 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.5K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
10612 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.4K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
4357 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1436 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$28.0KJun 3, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$11.2KApr 24, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$3.6KApr 8, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$5.0KApr 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.0KApr 8, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.6KApr 8, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3.7KApr 8, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.7KApr 8, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.6KApr 8, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.6KApr 8, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$13.4KApr 8, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$8.8KApr 8, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$5.1KApr 8, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$16.7KApr 8, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$447.26Apr 7, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$9.4KApr 5, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.0KApr 5, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$10.0KApr 5, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$29.4KApr 5, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$20.5KApr 5, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 03:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.