0x8eb63dc591dbccd688dc61854b351aa90a7e5277
0x8eb63dc591dbccd688dc61854b351aa90a7e5277
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$17.12
Total PnL
$-64.86
Realised
$-2.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
89 shares @ 10.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.80
$-3.20
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.08
$1.58
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.10
$0.60
- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.48
$-0.02
- UNDER
Millwall FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 3.5
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.43
$-0.07
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.43
$-0.07
- NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.35
$-0.15
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.45
$-1.05
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
214 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
131 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?$1.539h ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1.859h ago
- TRADEBUYMillwall FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 3.5$1.5211h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.5011h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.751d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.872d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.862d ago
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.512d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?$1.533d ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.573d ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.573d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.503d ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.573d ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.573d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$7.343d ago
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.509d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.509d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.879d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1.509d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".