0x9085a11ceadb37437aae8f8c7f8ca4c370e8d602
0x9085a11ceadb37437aae8f8c7f8ca4c370e8d602
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$104.15
Total PnL
$16.79
Realised
$2.89
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.15
$17.15
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 90.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.82
$5.32
- NO
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.56
$0.12
- NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$0.66
- NO
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.80
$0.20
- NO
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.80
$0.24
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.68
$-0.00
- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.7¢·now 91.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$0.00
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.99
$0.91
- YES
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
7 shares @ 24.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt before 2027?$1.24Apr 25, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$2.08Apr 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$4.68Apr 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$1.30Apr 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$4.74Apr 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.05Apr 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$4.60Apr 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$4.58Apr 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.56Apr 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.68Apr 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.75Apr 23, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$11.27Apr 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.50Apr 10, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$10.58Apr 10, 10:32 UTC
- SPLITAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$40.00Apr 8, 13:11 UTC
- MERGEWill no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$5.00Apr 2, 00:33 UTC
- MERGEAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$15.00Apr 1, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$2.87Mar 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$1.44Mar 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$4.45Mar 28, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".