Elliptical-Eel
0x9a546e780eca9b08813bcd40b905dc2d15b95510
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$127.89
Total PnL
$-28.56
Realised
$-6.08
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.89
$1.11
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
12 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.17
$0.40
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.99
$0.19
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
11 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$8.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 78.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.71
$-0.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$0.02
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.95
$-0.01
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.95
$0.06
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.91
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$2.25May 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$2.50May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$0.20May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$1.00May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?$2.30May 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$2.50May 17, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$0.10May 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$0.31May 17, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$1.45May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?$1.17May 16, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?$0.84May 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$2.00May 16, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$0.90May 16, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$2.00May 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$1.56May 16, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?$0.42May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$2.46May 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$6.92May 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$1.75May 15, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".