0x9d774e2a560018526a4c9d0c1263694685f37e5a
0x9d774e2a560018526a4c9d0c1263694685f37e5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$46.04
Total PnL
$-1.92
Realised
$-4.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
21 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.00
$0.06
- NO
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
10 shares @ 89.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.79
$0.83
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
11 shares @ 75.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.29
$1.04
- NO
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6 shares @ 95.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.96
$0.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$10.44Jun 13, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.82Jun 8, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $7.20Jun 5, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.24May 29, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLModi out by December 31, 2026?$4.67May 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$4.74May 27, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.34May 27, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.61May 24, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$4.58May 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $7.36May 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.20May 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$7.27Apr 28, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$6.79Apr 28, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$4.46Apr 25, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?$6.02Apr 25, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$8.37Apr 23, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$2.48Apr 23, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$11.48Apr 23, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?$5.95Apr 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$1.57Apr 17, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.