Tedious-Heating
0x9ef7a7760b1a7aeff806f753f2946689b8a9136c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$20.00
Win rate
63%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
404 shares @ 80.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$404.40
$80.42
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
268 shares @ 54.4¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$202.43
$56.69
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
271 shares @ 67.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$158.56
$-23.44
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
155 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$154.72
$60.34
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
134 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$133.94
$16.07
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 64.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.99
$18.20
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
39 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$39.31
$13.76
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
70 shares @ 51.6¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.34
$1.29
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
24 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.21
$0.24
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
15 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.00
$3.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.