Courageous-Celeriac
0xa40dda3649c9018afad004f7a85d4d019a35ed98
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$80.12
Total PnL
$-33.09
Realised
$-50.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
37 shares @ 34.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$33.97
$21.47
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 70.4¢·now 74.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.60
$0.60
- NO
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 6?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp May 12, 2026$4.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Trump or Melania say "Nuclear" at the Military Mothers event?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$3.031h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$3.002h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$3.035h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$3.005h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.125h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.025h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.005h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.185h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.055h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$7.285h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.006h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.006h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.006h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.006h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.006h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.016h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.016h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$3.116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$5.016h ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 5?$0.006h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
