Bowed-Literate
0xa57b7c2a33a165c10e0b050bc203b008211832dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
147
Open notional
$41.78
Total PnL
$-536.60
Realised
$0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 147- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
668 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.37
$-7.63
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.68
$-6.32
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$0.50
- YES
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 10, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$1.04May 10, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.04May 8, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.04May 8, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.04May 8, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 8, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 8, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 8, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 8, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$10.40May 5, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$1.04May 5, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$1.00May 5, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.04May 5, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.24May 5, 18:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 8, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$1.00Apr 8, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.00Apr 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$5.00Apr 8, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$1.00Apr 8, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.