0xa57e74f1f6080a4aaa876821c8e8d4b1832efc85
0xa57e74f1f6080a4aaa876821c8e8d4b1832efc85
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$6.88
Total PnL
$-359.32
Realised
$-2.78
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
138 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.87
$0.76
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.79
$-0.22
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
17 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-3.78
- YES
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- PATRICIO PITBULL
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)
163 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-48.95
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?
147 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-42.56
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
97 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
96 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00Jun 6, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Jun 6, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$0.00Jun 6, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.00Jun 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.03Jun 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$1.26Jun 6, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$5.00Jun 6, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$6.53Jun 4, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$5.00May 22, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$49.69May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$6.76May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 17, 08:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$50.97Apr 12, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$54.65Apr 12, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 12?$6.96Apr 12, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$16.79Apr 12, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.63Apr 12, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 12?$15.85Apr 12, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$17.34Apr 12, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $26.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.