Ready-Shopping
0xa78eb4673d71b5cd627a43f22fbc5039d8b474b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-331.00
Realised
$-237.93
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- OVER
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5
1748 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.7K
$1.6K
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
922 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$922.00
$1.26
- TEMPLE OWLS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
871 shares @ 74.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$435.50
$-209.04
- SOUTHERN SUPER STARS
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers
646 shares @ 17.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$319.77
$209.95
- AFGHANISTAN
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
389 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$192.56
$-13.62
- SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS
Georgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bulls
81 shares @ 41.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$81.00
$47.14
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$20.00
$14.00
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
78 shares @ 53.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.43
$-26.91
- YES
Stripe IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 16.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.25
- EAST TEXAS A&M LIONS
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals
1052 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-108.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$520.37Apr 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?$577.28Apr 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$102.93Apr 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$384.93Apr 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$74.20Apr 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$15.70Apr 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?$296.77Apr 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?$99.43Apr 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by December 31?$66.90Apr 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$127.60Apr 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$64.68Apr 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?$584.32Apr 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$97.13Apr 13, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.76Apr 13, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$313.00Apr 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?$76.16Apr 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?$620.54Apr 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$643.26Apr 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$87.90Apr 13, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$467.10Apr 13, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $266.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.