Natural-Vacation
0xa8c63f775ddbbe66b56614191747def3021444e8
Quality score
80/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$229.9K
Total PnL
$-96.2K
Realised
$-26.4K
Win rate
62%
128 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13125 shares @ 82.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.4K
$-395.40
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
8460 shares @ 87.4¢·now 88.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.5K
$66.40
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
7686 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.4K
$380.93
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
7274 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.2K
$85.39
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
7711 shares @ 85.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.0K
$395.13
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
11065 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.9K
$-282.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
6900 shares @ 89.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.8K
$611.62
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
7275 shares @ 88.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$130.39
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
6681 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.6K
$88.01
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
5576 shares @ 88.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.3K
$380.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$50.0029s ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$50.008m ago
- TRADEBUYZendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?$40.009m ago
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.6717m ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$118.0035m ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?$190.562h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.9K3h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$669.993h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.0K3h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$77.934h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.425h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.425h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.425h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21.675h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$105.815h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.205h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.425h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.886h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.606h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$40.726h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $110.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14h ago
- Last active
- 29s ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.