Natural-Vacation
0xa8c63f775ddbbe66b56614191747def3021444e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$246.8K
Total PnL
$32.6K
Realised
$21.6K
Win rate
75%
116 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20614 shares @ 80.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.2K
$680.59
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
15852 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.6K
$284.83
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
11462 shares @ 70.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.2K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
9851 shares @ 84.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.9K
$552.37
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
7536 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.4K
$33.71
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
7153 shares @ 87.4¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$531.84
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
6454 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.4K
$393.63
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
6030 shares @ 87.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.7K
$447.18
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
5850 shares @ 94.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.6K
$112.44
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
5935 shares @ 85.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$113.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.14Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.64Jun 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.22Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.13Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.64Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.31Jun 13, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.64Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.64Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$377.79Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jun 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.08Jun 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Jun 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.00Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.85Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.00Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.39Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$13.6K
Trades
2
Buy share
58%
Window
May 29, 19:20 UTC → Jun 8, 10:44 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.7K@95¢Jun 8, 10:44 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$7.9K@75¢May 29, 19:17 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
30d volume
$13.6K
2 trades
Buy share
58%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
$7.9K · 58% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $93.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 116 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.