Defiant-Purpose
0xac0274c3eb84191ede03ea9f9a9f39177c07b942
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$132.63
Total PnL
$25.31
Realised
$23.44
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
140 shares @ 26.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$42.84
$5.03
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
49 shares @ 55.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.51
$10.07
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
146 shares @ 13.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.16
$1.46
- NO
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
22 shares @ 67.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$11.75
$-3.10
- NO
Major US official out by May 31?
15 shares @ 64.9¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.45
$1.02
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.51
$0.40
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
29 shares @ 52.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.64
$-11.52
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
9 shares @ 25.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.76
$-1.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$22.5733m ago
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$10.752h ago
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$10.002h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$15.682h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$9.682h ago
- TRADESELLWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?$29.992h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$9.703h ago
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$5.963h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$9.343h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$22.454h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$9.964h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$11.844h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$15.195h ago
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$28.245h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?$8.366h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?$15.476h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?$2.796h ago
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$11.236h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$0.1520h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$9.7920h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 33m ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".