0xad5cbd5c209f13af8cd4550f03da4e8b2551b927
0xad5cbd5c209f13af8cd4550f03da4e8b2551b927
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$190.96
Total PnL
$-0.24
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
11 shares @ 87.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.68
$0.69
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.15
$0.17
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.28
$0.69
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.16
$0.17
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.13
$0.14
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
5 shares @ 94.1¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.11
$0.14
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
5 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.10
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$5.00Jun 14, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 14, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$2.23Jun 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$1.00Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$1.00Jun 14, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$1.00Jun 14, 06:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$5.02Jun 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?$0.01Jun 13, 14:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$1.08Jun 12, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$5.00Jun 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$4.98Jun 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$5.00Jun 11, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$4.99Jun 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$5.00Jun 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Jun 10, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$4.99Jun 10, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.