Different-Turf
0xaf50fc6413b0a3c333c620ea9d7a73956c949691
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$64.10
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.50
$37.40
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
12 shares @ 43.8¢·now 82.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.76
$4.59
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 22.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$-3.30
- YES
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
168 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$-3.61
- YES
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.33
$-3.71
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.1¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$-3.77
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 45.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$-4.05
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
97 shares @ 5.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$-3.92
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
105 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$-3.94
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
144 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.94
$-4.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$5.17Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$5.22Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?$5.00Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant by March 31?$5.00Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$5.10Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.28Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$5.04Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$5.10Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".