Bewitched-Merchant
0xb2539c6e857372d90bc648b59498cb6e5ec42d38
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$130.05
Realised
$144.07
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$72.16
$0.16
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
74 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.19
$1.19
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
100 shares @ 53.8¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.23
$2.23
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.17
$0.17
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
44 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 in May?
41 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$40.12
$0.12
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
50 shares @ 63.4¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.81
$-0.19
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
53 shares @ 57.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.04
$1.04
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
36 shares @ 83.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.11
$3.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$30.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.036h ago
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.096h ago
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.126h ago
- REDEEMWill eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?$6.676h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.016h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$5.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?$1.016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$2.016h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$3.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$20.216h ago
- YIELD$0.007h ago
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$0.847h ago
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$5.047h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$2.017h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.007h ago
- TRADEBUYDOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by May 31?$5.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?$1.019h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
