Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger
0xb2d5557df3ebeb013fba586883551f3a371eff8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$234.56
Total PnL
$-187.19
Realised
$22.93
Win rate
100%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.75
$-0.65
- NO
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$4.99
$2.19
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
10 shares @ 50.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.45
$-0.60
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.90
$-0.05
- NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.88
$-0.03
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.83
$-0.02
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.77
$-0.07
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
6 shares @ 79.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.75
$-0.80
- NO
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
7 shares @ 54.2¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.70
$-0.05
- NO
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.67
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?$1.44Jul 23, 02:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$1.13Jul 22, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$3.60Jul 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$2.50Jul 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?$3.60Jul 22, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$0.82Jul 22, 02:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?$0.38Jul 21, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?$3.38Jul 21, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$1.05Jul 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$2.80Jul 21, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$3.18Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?$7.60Jul 20, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?$1.25Jul 20, 08:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$3.70Jul 19, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
83/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
69 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.