Merry-Mailing
0xbb44d8d8675553ca1e1a8a1ba6b448c6af3bd3d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$8.4K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
3000 shares @ 85.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.7K
$105.03
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
2460 shares @ 75.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$2.4K
$565.22
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.5K
$170.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 72.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$442.50
$82.50
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
200 shares @ 84.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$141.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.98
$25.98
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
205 shares @ 71.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$122.11
$-24.55
- NO
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?
253 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.4¢·exp May 24, 2026$117.53
$-16.79
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 53.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$107.70
$37.70
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 46.5¢·now 45.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$91.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$51.00May 23, 13:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?$16.66May 22, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?$4.65May 22, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?$50.00May 22, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?$63.00May 22, 20:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$77.35May 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.78May 21, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.75May 21, 22:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.04May 19, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.72May 19, 01:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.4KMay 18, 14:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$338.00May 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$426.42May 17, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $102.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".