Grubby-Empire
0xbcc53b644d20923a618c66c3fa0b26790bbe2276
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$233.89
Total PnL
$-671.59
Realised
$58.99
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
222 shares @ 45.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.30
$-37.70
- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
241 shares @ 16.6¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.18
$12.12
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.17
$6.17
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
188 shares @ 30.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$21.59
$-36.51
- YES
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
42 shares @ 39.7¢·now 42.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$17.66
$0.96
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
16 shares @ 66.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.27
$3.86
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 58.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.93
$3.93
- NO
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.35
$-0.65
- NO
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$19.12Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$120.57Jun 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$8.00May 18, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Nuclear" or "Nuke" be said on ICEMAN?$1.59May 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?$3.11May 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?$3.32May 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?$0.27May 15, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?$1.55May 15, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?$1.04May 15, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?$2.60May 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?$1.04May 15, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?$5.88May 15, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?$4.16May 15, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$4.75May 15, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?$1.96May 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?$1.99May 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "No No No" be said on ICEMAN?$1.83May 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "2026" be said on ICEMAN?$1.01May 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nuclear" or "Nuke" be said on ICEMAN?$1.01May 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?$2.06May 12, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.